It Was All A Dream About Tennessee

Because they just can’t help themselves, the White Sox once again made off the field news this week when an article in Crain’s Chicago Business broke that Jerry Reinsdorf is considering selling the team and/or moving them to a new location when the lease at Guaranteed Rate Field expires in 2029.  Alternative locations mentioned in the article were elsewhere in Chicago, the suburbs, or Nashville, Tennessee.

Now, first things first.  Reinsforf, who turns 88 next February, is unlikely to sell the team in his lifetime.  Reinsdorf made his bones as a tax attorney who was known for having detailed knowledge of the tax code and the loopholes within.  It has long been speculated that the team will not sell until after his death to shield his heirs from the capital gains tax that would be owed once the team is sold.  Reinsforf and company purchased the White Sox for $19 million back in 1981.  Conservatively, the team is worth upwards of $1 billion dollars today and would likely sell for over $2 billion.  If Reinsdorf sells, he owes taxes on the difference between the selling price and his initial $19 million investment.  If his heirs sell, they will owe tax on the difference between the value when they inherited the team and the selling price.  That’s quite a difference.

As for moving, I would be shocked if the team ended up moving out of state.  Firstly, there are still six years left on the team’s lease for the current ballpark.  A ballpark that, frankly, is in a better condition today than it was the day it opened.  The most likely outcome is that Reindorf and company is just rattling the cage in the hopes of getting concessions on a new lease agreement.  In the unlikely event the team were to move, the most obvious location would be the current Soldier Field, which the Bears are looking to abandon as they head to Arlington Heights.  Tearing down the existing structure would be costly and building something new would be costly (and what about the Fire and summertime concerts?), but could use buyout money from the Bears to cover some of that cost.  Suburban locations could also be on the table.  The teams fanbase is concentrated in the south and southwest suburbs, though last time they threatened to move they were looking to the northwest.  There is too much money to be made in Nashville as an expansion franchise for me to seriously consider that MLB would allow an existing team to relocate there.

All that said, this report will likely turn out to be much ado about nothing.  Which is exactly what you want when you’re fighting for a top draft pick in a season you were expecting to be competing for the World Series.

 

Cleaning House

In a shocking development, the White Sox announced this afternoon that executive vice president Kenny Williams and senior vice president and general manager Rick Hahn have been relieved of their duties, effective immediately.  The team, expected to be in the middle of a contention window following a rebuild at the end of the last decade, find themselves 49-76 heading into tonight’s game.

Williams first joined the White Sox as a player via the 3rd round of the 1982 draft.  He debuted with the team in 1986 and spent parts of the following two seasons with the club.  He rejoined the White Sox organization following his retirement as a scout in November of 1992 before becoming a special assistant to Jerry Reinsdorf in 1994.  The following year, he was named director of minor league operations from 1995-1996 and served as vice president of player development from 1997-2000.  Following the 2000 season, Williams was named general manager, just the third African American in baseball history to hold the position.  He was elevated to the executive vice president role following the 2012 season, the role he served until this afternoon.

Hahn joined the White Sox organization in 2002 as the assistant general manager.  He was promoted to general manager following the 2012 season.  He was responsible for convincing Jerry Reinsdorf of the need for the rebuild and did a spectacular job of tearing down the major league team to the studs, bringing in a bevy of prospects.  It was that next step, of surrounding those prospects with the right mix of free agent veterans, where Hahn failed, either of his own accord or due to meddling from his superiors.

The announcement from the White Sox says that they plan to have a “single decision maker to lead the baseball operations department” and that they anticipate having this person in place by the end of the season.  Does Jerry Reinsdorf have it in him to bring someone new into the organization?  Or will he promote from within?  We should have the answer sometime in the next six weeks.

Playoffs?

The Cubs, effectively tied for the third and final wild card spot after last night’s victory against the White Sox, have sent out post-season invoices to their season ticket holders for the first time since 2019.  Thanks to a randomly selected combination assignment, I would end up with tickets to two games in each potential round, a slight downgrade from years past.  I would maintain my normal seats through the NLCS but would end up relocated to the right field side should the team advance to the World Series.

The Cubs still have some work to do on the field to make sure all this preparation isn’t for naught.  They have been one of the hottest teams in the second half, but injuries to Marcus Stroman and inexperience may haunt them down the stretch.

A Bad Year Keeps Getting Worse

The hits keep on coming for Liam Hendriks, who underwent Tommy John surgery yesterday, ending his season and potentially his time with the White Sox.  After being diagnosed with non-Hodgkins’s lymphoma this offseason, Hendriks went through treatments and was declared cancer free.  He made his season debut in May for the White Sox, but appeared in just five games before elbow inflammation caused him to be shut down.  Surgery and rehab would likely keep him out of commission through the 2024 season.

The White Sox hold a $15 million option on Hendriks for 2024, with a $15 million buyout to be paid out at $1.5 million per year for ten years.  Given what he has meant to the franchise and the fan base during his tenure on the south side, especially this year during the cancer battle, I would be surprised if Jerry Reinsdorf and company decide not to pick up the option.

One Burger To Go

With a little more than an hour left before the trade deadline, word came down that the White Sox had traded Jake Burger to the Marlins for Jake Eder, the team’s fourth-ranked prospect.  Burger, selected by the White Sox in the first round of the 2018 draft, missed three minor league seasons between 2018 and 2020 due to two torn Achilles tendons and the pandemic before making his major league debut in 2021.  He has broken out as an offensive force this season, hitting 25 home runs, which puts him in a tie for third place in the American League.  Defensively, he is probably fated to be a designated hitter unless he makes major improvements.

Eder, a 24-year-old left-handed starter, had Tommy John surgery in 2021 and missed all of the 2022 season.  In nine starts across two levels this year, he has a 4.12 ERA.  If he can cut down on his walks, he should compete for a spot in the big league rotation in 2024.

Welcoming An Old Friend

After a good run, although against some of the dregs of the major leagues, put them back over .500 and only four games behind the NL Central leading Reds, the Cubs moved from sellers to buyers, making a move this afternoon to re-acquire Jeimer Candelario from the Nationals.  Candelario made his debut with the Cubs back in 2016, earning a World Series ring for his five-game effort.  With the Cubs looking to repeat as champions, he was traded the following July to the Tigers for the immortal Alex Avila and Justin Wilson.

Six years later, he returns, in exchange for lefty pitcher D.J. Herz and shortstop Kevin Made.  Both have a good shot at sticking in the big leagues, but are from the second tier of Cub prospects.  I guess if you find yourself just four games back at the trading deadline, you have to go for it, but odds of the Cubs 1) making the playoffs and 2) doing anything even if they happen to sneak in are extremely low.  Since it doesn’t appear that they gave up too much for him, I guess you can live with this move.  But if a losing streak comes up now that the Cubs are facing upper division teams again, you have to wonder if it was worth it.

Will The Last One To Leave Guaranteed Rate Field Please Turn Out The Lights

The ink wasn’t dry on yesterday’s post about the Lance Lynn trade when it was announced that the next domino had fallen: Kendall Graveman is going back to Houston in exchange for catcher Korey Lee.  Graveman, who finished the 2021 season with the Astros before signing with the White Sox as a free agent, was mostly fine during his tenure with the White Sox, though he struggled somewhat while filling in as closer this year while Liam Hendriks recuperates.

Korey Lee, 25, who was the fifth ranked prospect in the Astros system, was a college teammate of Andrew Vaughn and is known as a top-tier defensive catcher.  He didn’t hit much in 12 big league games with the Astros in 2022, but has a .283 average in Triple A so far this year.  He’s currently on the IL with an oblique strain.  With Yasmani Grandal a free agent after this year, Lee should be in the mix behind the plate in 2024.

The Sell-Off Continues

The dismantling of the 2023 Chicago White Sox continued today, as pitchers Lance Lynn and Joe Kelly were traded to the Dodgers in exchange for Nick Nastrini, Jordan Leasure, and Trayce Thompson.  Lynn and Kelly last teamed up Wednesday night, as they combined to give up six runs in the top of the fifth in the loss to the Cubs.

The White Sox acquired the 36-year-old Lynn prior to the 2021 season, where he helped lead the team to an AL Central title, earned an All-Star nod and finished top three in AL Cy Young Award voting, and signed a three-year contract extension.  A knee injury limited him to 21 starts in 2022, and hampered his performance when he did pitch, as he saw his ERA soar by nearly one and a third runs.  This year has been a mixed bag, as some of his peripheral numbers show that he should be doing better than he has, but his ERA is well over 6 and he’s set a career high for home runs allowed, and we aren’t even to August yet.

Joe Kelly, signed as a free agent prior to the 2022 season, has not seen much success during his tenure on the south side.  Injuries hampered him in 2022 as he posted a career-worst 6.08 ERA.  He has seen better results in 2023, but still sports an ERA of 4.97 while spending more than his fair share of time on the IL.

On the return side, Nick Nastrini, a 23-year-old right-hander, appears to be the prize in the deal.  The Dodgers fourth-round pick in 2021, he reportedly has the stuff to be a starter in the big leagues if he can reign in his command.  He was 5-3 with a 4.03 ERA in 17 starts Double A.  Jordan Leasure was a 14th-round pick in 2021 and has been closing in Double A this year, compiling a 3.09 ERA with nine saves.  He’s averaging 14.4 strikeouts per nine innings, but has had issues keeping the balls that are hit in the ballpark, giving up more than one and a half homers per nine innings.  Trayce Thompson, who made his major league debut with the White Sox back in 2015, is currently on the 60-Day IL and was likely included just to give the Dodgers salary relief.

The White Sox are now down two pitchers from their starting rotation for the remainder of 2023, with indications a third, Mike Clevinger, may be moved as well if he proves healthy enough coming off the IL this weekend.  Who eats those innings for the rest of 2023?  Your guess is as good as mine.

Giolito (and Lopez) Shuffle

Lucas Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez joined the White Sox organization together in December of 2016, part of the return in the Adam Eaton trade with the Nationals that, along with the Chris Sale trade, kickstarted the latest rebuild.  Yesterday, the two were bundled together once again, traded to the Angels and officially slamming closed the contention window the now failed rebuild was meant to open.  Giolito, who was 6-6 with a 3.79 ERA this season, and Lopez, 2-5 with a 4.29 ERA and 4 saves, will both become free agents at the end of the season.

Giolito and Lopez both had their successes with the White Sox, but it came in different ways.  Both had a decent showing in a brief cup of coffee to close out 2017, but their paths diverged in 2018.  Lopez had a decent year, going 7-10 with a 3.91 ERA while Giolito was, statistically, the worst starting pitcher in baseball.  From that point forward, though, their fortunes changed dramatically.  With the help of future pitching coach Ethan Katz, Giolito reworked his pitching motion, becoming an All Star in 2019 and throwing a no-hitter in 2020 while earning Cy Young Award votes in each season between 2019 and 2021.  Lopez, meanwhile, struggled with consistency, seeing his ERA jump to 5.38 in 2019 and 6.49 in 2020.  After a brief detour to Charlotte in 2021, Lopez returned as a bullpen arm, where he saw more success.

In exchange for the two pitchers, the Angels are sending catcher Edgar Quero, ranked as the 65th best prospect, and left-hander Ky Bush, their second and third ranked prospects.  Quero, 20, is a switch-hitter and is currently the youngest player in Double A.  Bush, 23, was the Angels’ second-round pick in 2021 and, after a non-arm injury impacted his performance earlier in the season, has posted a 1.84 ERA with 17 strikeouts over his last three appearances in Double A.

While the move should improve the White Sox fortunes in 2024 and beyond, it does leave them in a bit of a pickle for the remainder of 2023.  There is nobody in the farm system ready to step up and take Giolito’s place in the rotation.  It is extremely likely that bullpen days become the norm, especially if further deals send Lance Lynn and Mike Clevinger to other locales.  Given their past aversion to free agent deals for quality pitchers, what Rick Hahn and Kenny Williams do to try and re-work the roster to give themselves any chance of competing in 2024 is anyone’s guess.

Cutting The Cord

Yesterday, the Marquee Sports Network announced their long-awaited direct-to-consumer subscription offering, providing in-market fans the opportunity to stream live Cubs games and other Marquee programming without having some sort of a cable or satellite service. The monthly subscription is $19.99 per month, with subscriptions available through the website and a new app.  The subscriptions are only available within the defined Cubs market, as out-of-market viewers will continue to use MLB.tv to watch the games.

As more consumers move away from traditional cable or satellite subscriptions and teams see their RSN partners go into bankruptcy and stop making their promised payments, app-based subscriptions look like the future for delivering baseball (and all sports, really) to its fans.  The only question is if that comes piecemeal, with each team coming up with their own product tied to their legacy RSN partners, or whether MLB.tv expands to include an in-market option, at additional cost.  How this eventually plays out is anyone’s guess.