2013 Predictions Revisited

MLB: Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles DodgersBack in April, on the eve of the 2013 baseball season, I looked into my crystal ball and tried to predict the outcomes of the division races and the major awards.  Now that the season has come to an end the playoffs are in full swing, let’s take a look back at how things unfolded and how wrong my predictions were.

American League

East: Rays

Nobody really predicted the Red Sox bouncing back from their miserable 2012 campaign and winning the division this year.  The Rays, meanwhile, managed to beat the Rangers in the tie-breaker game and make it as the second wild card.

Central: Tigers

This one was practically a no-brainer, although the Indians did make a race of it.

West: Angels

The Angels once again made a huge splash in the free agency market and then underachieved miserably during the season.  The A’s, despite their precarious stadium and underfunded roster, took the division handily.

Wild Cards: Blue Jays, A’s

Despite totally remaking their roster, the Blue Jays failed to reach the playoffs once again.  The Indians and the Rays were the actual wild card teams.  Overall, for the AL, I managed to get one division winner correct and 3 of the 5 playoff teams correct.

National League

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2013 Final Standings

MLB: Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles DodgersA miserable baseball season in the city of Chicago came to an end last weekend, with the White Sox and the Cubs combining for the most losses in the history of the teams sharing the city.  I saw less than half of the teams in the league this year, and attended on 29 games, the fewest I’ve seen since I started getting Cub season tickets back in 2002.  On the bright side, the White Sox and Cubs will both draft in the top 5 next June, which will hopefully help them both get back to the top of their respective Central divisions sooner rather than later.

That said, here’s our final look at the records in games I attended this past season.

 
TeamCity TeamName Won Loss Winning Pctg
Cleveland Indians 4 0 1
Tampa Bay Rays 2 0 1
Chicago Cubs 2 0 1
Minnesota Twins 4 1 0.8
Kansas City Royals 3 1 0.75
Los Angeles Angels 1 1 0.5
Chicago White Sox 11 16 0.407407407407407
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Ballpark Tour: Miller Park

Stadium Name: Miller Park

Location: Milwaukee

Home Team: Brewers, Indians, Astros

Years in Service: 2001 – Present

Visits: 4

After spending the first 26 years of their existence in Milwaukee’s County Stadium, the Brewers broke ground on a new stadium on November 9, 1996, in a parking lot behind County Stadium, with plans to open the park for the 2000 season.  Construction was delayed in 1999 after a crane collapsed while lifting a 400-ton roof section, killing three workers.  This caused the opening to be delayed for a year, and the new Miller Park did not open until April 6, 2001.  In 2007, the stadium hosted an Indians series against the Angels after snow storms in Cleveland forced the cancellation of the previous series against the Mariners.  The Astros called Miller Park home for two games in 2008 when Hurricane Ike stormed through Houston.

I made the first of my four visits to Miller Park during the inaugural season of 2001.  That May 7th contest had the Cubs squeaking out a 7-6 victory against the hosting Brewers.  This was my first experience with a retractable roof stadium and I enjoyed it.  Miller Park was a vastly superior replacement over County Stadium, and I’ve enjoyed each of my subsequent trips up to Milwaukee.

#282 – Bob Melvin

melvin12Name: Bob Melvin

Rank: 282

Position: C

Year With White Sox: 1994

Veteran catcher Bob Melvin joined the White Sox via trade from the Angels for Jeff Schwarz on July 22, 1994.  He managed to appear in 11 games in the 21 days before the strike wiped out the remainder of the season and ended Melvin’s career.

Melvin’s next career, as a major league manager, had him crossing paths once again with his former team as his first opponent while helming the A’s was the White Sox.

Melvin’s numbers in a White Sox uniform were:

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#292 – Andrew Lorraine

Andrew_Lorraine

Name: Andrew Lorraine

Rank: 292

Position: P

Year With White Sox: 1995

Andrew Lorraine joined the White Sox near the trading deadline in 1995 when he, along with McKay Christensen, Bill Simas, and John Snyder came over from the Angels in exchange for Jim Abbott and Tim Fortugno.  Lorraine made it in to 5 games for the 1995 White Sox, giving up 3 runs in 8 innings.

The following January, Lorraine was packaged to the A’s along with minor leaguer Charles Poe for Danny Tartabull.  He rejoined the White Sox organization in 2006, putting up a 1.95 ERA in 17 appearances for Charlotte, but that was not enough to get called up and it was the final affiliated stop of his long career.

Lorraine’s numbers in a White Sox uniform were:

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All Star Break Standings

With the All Star Game on the agenda for tonight, it’s time to take a look at the team records for the 16 games I’ve been to in the first half.  It’s been a disappointing 3 months for both Chicago teams, although one of them was expecting it.

Team Won Lost Winning Pctg
Tampa Bay Rays 2 0 1
Minnesota Twins 2 0 1
Cleveland Indians 3 0 1
Chicago Cubs 2 0 1
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim 1 1 0.5
Chicago White Sox 6 8 0.429
Seattle Mariners 0 2 0
Milwaukee Brewers 0 1 0
Miami Marlins 0 2 0
Kansas City Royals 0 1 0
Houston Astros 0 1 0

Another Carlos Dump For Cubs

The Carlos Marmol era, which started with great promise in 2006 and almost ended over the winter in a trade with the Angels for Dan Haren, officially came to a close yesterday when the Cubs designated the beleaguered reliever for assignment.  Marmol’s Cubs career almost came to an end this offseason, when he was nearly traded to the Angels in exchange for starter Dan Haren, but that trade fell apart at the last minute.  Looking at this performance this year in a Cubs uniform, it may have been best for all parties had he moved on at the time.  Marmol was thought to have lost his role in the beginning of December when the Cubs signed Japanese free agent closer Kyuji Fujikawa.  When Fujikawa was injured early and often, Marmol was given another chance to close and failed spectacularly.

After failing as a starter in 2006, Marmol resurfaced in 2007 as a setup man and helped the Cubs capture back-to-back division titles in 2007 and 2008.  Over those two seasons, Marmol battled Ryan Dempster and Kerry Wood for the closer spot, getting his opportunity in both years thanks to injury to the incumbent.  In 2009, he finally replaced an ineffective Kevin Gregg as closer, and that is where he mostly stayed, until now.

Marmol’s strength was in his ability to strike out opposing batters, averaging 16 strikeouts per nine innings pitched, breaking the record for highest K/9 ratio by a pitcher with at least 50 innings pitched, previously held by Eric Gagne.  However, with this came extreme wildness.  For his career, he has also averaged 6 walks per nine innings pitched.  He’s also managed to hit 46 batters over his career.

These past two seasons have seen Marmol start to fall out of favor with Cubs fans and management.  In 2011, he  finished with the worst save conversion percentage of his closing career thanks to 10 blown saves.  2012 got off to a similar start, although he did end up with the second highest save conversion percentage of his career.  This past offseason, the Cubs imported Japanese closer Kyuji Fujikawa to handle ninth inning duties, but elbow reconstruction has put him out of commission and gave Marmol another opportunit to close.  Unfortunately, Marmol failed spectacularly, putting up a 5.36 ERA in 31 games, picking up only 2 saves and averaging 2 HR allowed per 9 innings pitched.

Personally, Marmol ranks third overall and first among Cub pitchers in games pitched that I have attended.  His 7 saves are either tied with or behind such luminaries as LaTroy Hawkins, Kevin Gregg, and Joe Borowski.

Marmol’s numbers in a Cubs uniform, both for games I attended and overall, were:

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#302 – McKay Christensen

51VCBoan9tLName: McKay Christensen

Rank: 302

Position: CF

Years With White Sox: 1999-2001

McKay Christensen was obtained by the White Sox, along with Andrew Lorraine, Bill Simas and John Snyder, from the Angels in exchange for Jim Abbott and Tim Fortugno in 1995, while Christensen was in Japan as a missionary for The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints.  He made his major league debut for the White Sox on April 6, 1999, going in as a defensive replacement in the White Sox 11-3 victory over the Mariners.

Christensen spent bits and pieces of the next three seasons with the big league club before getting shipped off to the Dodgers in July of 2001 for a minor league pitcher.

Christensen’s numbers in a White Sox uniform were:

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A Carlos Marmol Problem

Carlos-Marmol-bummedOne week into the 2013 season, the Cubs find themselves with a Carlos Marmol problem.  In May of last year, new manager Dale Sveum removed Marmol from the closer role after Marmol’s continued control issues and an over-reliance on his slider.  Marmol eventually worked his way back to the closer role and finished the year on a high note.  And that’s when things got weird.

Looking at another year of rebuilding and Marmol’s impending free agency, the Cubs decided the time was right to move him.  Last November, word leaked, from Marmol himself, that he had been traded to the Angels for Dan Haren, but that deal fell apart.  Japanese reliever Kyuji Fujikawa was signed over the winter, with the expectation that he would be the new closer.  The Cubs then told Marmol’s agent to expect a trade during spring training, which, of course, never happened.

The Cubs entered the season with Marmol as their closer, with the hopes of showcasing him for an eventual trade.  What they didn’t plan for was Marmol’s complete meltdown over the first week of the season.  Coming in to yesterday’s home opener, he’s faced 13 batters and has managed to retire 4 of them, culminating in Saturdays blown save to the Upton brothers and the Braves.

The Cubs now find themselves in the unenviable position of needing to send Carlos Marmol out there to prove that he can get people out but unable to do so because he so clearly cannot.  He actually managed to pitch an inning of mop up relief in yesterday’s home opener without giving up a run, but it will take more than that to rebuild whatever value he may have had.

#314 – Norberto Martin

pacomartin

Name: Norberto Martin

Rank: 314

Position: OF

Years With White Sox: 1993-1997

Norberto “Paco” Martin signed with the White Sox organization in 1984 as an amateur free agent out of the Dominican Republic.  He spent the next 9 years working his way to the big leagues, finally making his debut on September 20, 1993 in the White Sox victory against the then-California Angels.  He hit .357 in limited playing time as the White Sox surged towards their second AL West crown.  Things were looking up for Martin, until he hurt his elbow playing winter ball.

After having elbow surgery, Martin rejoined the White Sox in May of 1994 and spent the next 4 seasons as the primary utility infielder, averaging nearly 65 games per season.  After the 1997 season, Martin was granted free agency and his White Sox career came to an end.

Martin’s numbers in a White Sox uniform, both for games I attended and overall, were: Continue reading →